US futures climb as fears of Fed rate hike fade, with Apple on deck

U.S. stock futures rose calmly on Thursday after the Fed storm, as investors put aside rate concerns for now to focus on earnings from Apple (AAPL) and the next monthly employment report.

S&P 500 futures (^GSPC) rose about 0.7%, while those on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose 0.4%. Tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 (^NDX) contracts led the gains, up 0.9%.

Stocks are recovering from Wednesday’s volatile session dominated by the wait for the Federal Reserve’s policy decision. Chairman Jerome Powell downplayed the likelihood of an interest rate hike, relieving investors worried that recent signs of “persistent” inflation could prompt the move.

Learn more: What the Fed’s rate decision means for bank accounts, CDs, loans and credit cards

As Powell again emphasized that the Fed still depends on data to shape its thinking, the April jobs report, due Friday, is the center of attention. Wall Street is watching for any signs of cracks in the strength of the labor market, a key factor for policymakers.

At the same time, the OECD attributes U.S. outperformance as the reason the global economy is growing faster than expected, providing another reason for optimism.

Apple’s quarterly results, due after the market close on Thursday, led the results. Wall Street is bracing for a drop in revenue and a potentially significant decline in iPhone sales in China. But there could be some potential positives for the “Magnificent Seven” megacap in its results.

Live2 updates

  • Bring your macro notes to Apple’s earnings call tonight

    Most investors are bracing for a tough quarter for Apple (AAPL) this afternoon.

    To that end, shares are down 12% year to date, compared to a 5% gain for the S&P 500.

    The focus is on the impact of economic challenges in the United States and China on the powerful Apple. If these challenges prove more of an issue for sales, investors might refrain from getting too excited about the inevitable AI talk during the earnings call.

    Useful point from Samik Chatterjee, analyst at JP Morgan:

    “The feeling [on Appl has improved despite tough datapoints as the focus has shifted to owning the potential AI upgrade cycle; however, the upcoming earnings print will still matter for investors in offering insights into the magnitude of the cyclical challenges on account of pressured consumer spending as well as the headwinds in relation to market share moderation in China.”

  • The pushback on rate hikes from the Fed

    The Street is singing in unison this morning on a growing narrative in markets: the Fed may actually hike rates this year to finally bring inflation down to its 2% goal.

    That song is that pigs have a better chance of flying than the Fed whipping out a rate increase.

    Good point on all of this from Mike O’Rourke at Jones Trading this morning after Wednesday’s Fed decision:

    “Fear hype that chairman Powell would put rate hikes back on the table was ludicrous. If there was ever a straw man catalyst for a rally, this was it. The…

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